No won. Smart money backed Yes (17 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $6.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
rubby-always-wins took +$184 on No from 62¢; the biggest loser gave up $383.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 79% · 17°C 22% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 55% · 11°C 27% · 9°C 18% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 53% · 16°C 23% · 18°C 19% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 26% · 60-61°F 25% · 62-63°F 17% | $7k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 15? | 72-73°F 67% · 70-71°F 19% · 74-75°F 13% | $6k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 39% · 31°C 9% · 28°C 7% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rubby-always-wins | No | $183.57 |
| 241532532432 | No | $152.03 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $82.04 |
| fregdf12f | No | $81.13 |
| merod | No | $60.26 |
| calcjack | No | $55.00 |
| 0x18e1… | No | $50.05 |
| yrnmv | No | $42.64 |
| VAPAPORRA | No | $36.25 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $28.53 |
| HighTempTation | No | $25.11 |
| ghorrock | No | $24.27 |
113 wallets held a position at the close. The 51 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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