No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $3.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$21 on No from 95¢; the biggest loser gave up $25.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 11% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 10% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 38% · 11°C 37% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 36% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 22°C 89% · 21°C 12% · 20°C 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $21.13 |
| Haradwaith | No | $14.80 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $5.92 |
| ghorrock | No | $3.57 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $2.44 |
| 0xace0… | Yes | $2.09 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $1.93 |
| CampruCali | No | $1.55 |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | $1.49 |
| 0x3970… | No | $1.35 |
| Edmit | No | $0.88 |
| Casemiro18 | No | $0.75 |
33 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $61; the 16 biggest losers gave up $73. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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