Yes won. Smart money backed No (15 ranked wallets, average entry 86¢) and lost. Volume $8.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 51% · 21°C 25% · 19°C 21% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 12% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 45% · 62-63°F 40% · 64-65°F 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 52% · 19°C 40% · 18°C 6% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Descubra | Yes | $369.93 |
| bellotas500 | Yes | $186.19 |
| habash2 | Yes | $139.64 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $129.65 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $88.56 |
| huskyvs | Yes | $78.51 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $75.91 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | Yes | $63.38 |
| 0xe28d… | Yes | $60.12 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $56.32 |
| idiotekeOK | Yes | $51.73 |
| morphweather | Yes | $50.96 |
134 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 55 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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