No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $8.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 52% · 11°C 21% · 13°C 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 21% · 10°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 74% · 3°C 16% · 4°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 23% · 6°C 14% · 7°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 10°C 47% · 9°C 47% · 8°C 10% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $72.19 |
| myfirstd | No | $40.98 |
| Bilberry | No | $27.30 |
| 0x2706… | No | $24.20 |
| gghff | No | $23.85 |
| jixer01 | No | $22.50 |
| Weatherboy2 | No | $20.07 |
| twobonclay | No | $16.39 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $15.28 |
| drorch | No | $14.03 |
| 0x03a4… | No | $13.78 |
| dandanteng | No | $13.69 |
106 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $476; the 42 biggest losers gave up $719. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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