No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $8.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 96% · 14°C 5% · 15°C 2% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 57% · 33°C 40% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 64% · 28°C 20% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 43% · 15°C 34% · 17°C 20% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 3°C 50% · 2°C 40% · 4°C 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 9°C 51% · 10°C 33% · 8°C 12% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 21°C 45% · 20°C 43% · 22°C 5% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | No | $72.11 |
| 0xSPBB | No | $47.22 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $38.71 |
| lyd | No | $36.79 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $34.13 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $30.40 |
| 241532532432 | No | $28.86 |
| 0xyahn | No | $25.33 |
| 0xf762… | No | $23.36 |
| donthackme | No | $21.63 |
| LesterDiamond | No | $20 |
| wallingj13 | No | $14.73 |
118 wallets held a position at the close. The 55 biggest winners took $612; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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