No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $1.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xe8d0… took +$14 on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 37% · No 63% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 13? | 48-49°F 45% · 50-51°F 34% · 46-47°F 11% | $20k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 13? | 7°C 37% · 5°C 9% · 8°C 3% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 13? | 80-81°F 47% · 78-79°F 25% · 82-83°F 18% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 13? | 68-69°F 47% · 66-67°F 33% · 70-71°F 13% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 13? | 80-81°F 41% · 78-79°F 31% · 76-77°F 9% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 13? | 20°C 48% · 19°C 38% · 18°C 6% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe8d0… | No | $13.80 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $3.18 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.96 |
| mashuuuu | No | $0.99 |
| dp. | Yes | $0.93 |
| penguin-1 | No | $0.87 |
| doctorclause | No | $0.52 |
| haiwenxiang | Yes | −$3.02 |
| mcdownload2 | Yes | −$2.98 |
| ventyclob | Yes | −$2.77 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | −$1.60 |
| 0xf711… | Yes | −$1.41 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $22; the 11 biggest losers gave up $17. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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