No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $3.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
blowdryer took +$20 on No from 89¢; the biggest loser gave up $49.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 71% · 18°C 24% · 16°C 0% | $32k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 84% · 17°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 54% · 11°C 29% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 20°C 30% · 18°C 9% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 41% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| blowdryer | No | $20.24 |
| 0x3308… | No | $17.93 |
| Haradwaith | No | $10.50 |
| qwerty555 | No | $9.92 |
| leoleoleoleoleoleoleo | No | $8.54 |
| hello.67 | No | $7.60 |
| rocky42007 | No | $7.52 |
| kerbrerv | No | $6.84 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $4.12 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $3.94 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $3.90 |
| cleaningLady | No | $3.46 |
56 wallets held a position at the close. The 34 biggest winners took $135; the 22 biggest losers gave up $151. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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