No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
hello.67 took +$491 on No from 63¢; the biggest loser gave up $157.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 88% · 17°C 11% · 18°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 55% · 11°C 28% · 9°C 16% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 8% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 55% · 14°C 29% · 12°C 15% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | No | $491.26 |
| 0xdd22… | No | $205.99 |
| needleladder | No | $128.21 |
| 241532532432 | No | $115.49 |
| cleaningLady | No | $69.87 |
| blowdryer | No | $59.49 |
| Windollar | No | $57.01 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $55.89 |
| drorch | No | $43.63 |
| TheArbTraderMax | No | $32.31 |
| kerbrerv | No | $32.25 |
| 1132 | No | $25.61 |
123 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 59 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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