No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $4.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x3308… took +$184 on No from 69¢; the biggest loser gave up $192.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 63% · 18°C 32% · 16°C 0% | $27k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 80% · 17°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 34% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 30% · 60-61°F 24% · 56-57°F 16% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 7% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 16% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x3308… | No | $183.56 |
| fregdf12f | No | $56.19 |
| crypt941 | No | $24.04 |
| blowdryer | No | $22.67 |
| NimbusEdge | No | $15.10 |
| aze3 | No | $11.10 |
| Clusius | No | $9.95 |
| 0x5957… | No | $7.70 |
| cityevents | No | $6.72 |
| 0xe95f… | No | $6.51 |
| xinlangxzx | No | $6.13 |
| Cyclone. | No | $5.81 |
70 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $405; the 30 biggest losers gave up $542. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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