No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $6.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 29°C 48% · 28°C 41% · 27°C 7% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 44% · 72-73°F 35% · 76-77°F 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 3? | 11°C 65% · 12°C 24% · 10°C 10% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 51% · 27°C 40% · 29°C 9% | $10k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 91% · 25°C 25% · 24°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 3? | 16°C 66% · 17°C 28% · 15°C 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 3? | 12°C 45% · 13°C 45% · 11°C 4% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| YuanX33 | No | $37.50 |
| 0x5f3e… | No | $15.92 |
| sisan33 | No | $12.11 |
| gatekeeperofgozer | No | $11.84 |
| hfrozendancer | No | $11.10 |
| 0x14bb… | No | $8.18 |
| Tom365 | No | $7.92 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $7.14 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $4.76 |
| oleksiyz | No | $4 |
| SoW-yiyi | No | $3.63 |
| wetno | No | $3.57 |
75 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $176; the 34 biggest losers gave up $295. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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