No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$72 on No from 82¢; the biggest loser gave up $75.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 54% · 56-57°F 25% · 52-53°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 17% · 54-55°F 17% · 52-53°F 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 41% · 64-65°F 39% · 62-63°F 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 43% · 56-57°F 34% · 60-61°F 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 53% · 74-75°F 25% · 70-71°F 19% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 60% · 18°C 26% · 20°C 14% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 14? | 46-47°F 59% · 44-45°F 27% · 48-49°F 12% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $71.61 |
| hello.67 | No | $44.91 |
| Thermomenal | No | $23.06 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $13 |
| 1132 | No | $7.94 |
| Weatherstappen | No | $6.43 |
| ho1yGoodPredict | No | $6.26 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $5.45 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $5.17 |
| whhisky | No | $4.43 |
| HWReborn | No | $4.02 |
| oleksiyz | No | $4 |
55 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $235; the 19 biggest losers gave up $198. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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