No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 52% · No 48% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 59% · 5°C 3% · 6°C 1% | $17k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 12°C 48% · 11°C 47% · 13°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 52% · 70-71°F 31% · 74-75°F 12% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 99% · 3°C 1% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 56% · 13°C 28% · 11°C 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 11% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | No | $86.21 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $57.82 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $19.49 |
| 0xSPBB | No | $15.54 |
| andyjoy | No | $15.26 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $14.23 |
| Thermomenal | No | $8.87 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $8.49 |
| rocky42024 | No | $7.73 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $6.72 |
| HWReborn | No | $6.26 |
| Loulou89 | No | $5.76 |
89 wallets held a position at the close. The 46 biggest winners took $320; the 43 biggest losers gave up $276. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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