Yes won. Smart money backed No (15 ranked wallets, average entry 73¢) and lost. Volume $9.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 52% · 11°C 21% · 13°C 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 61% · 12°C 25% · 10°C 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 66% · 3°C 44% · 4°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 25% · 6°C 23% · 7°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 10°C 47% · 9°C 47% · 8°C 10% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| gghff | Yes | $538.53 |
| shinghzu.wthr | Yes | $422.17 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $282.40 |
| ViataBateFilmul | Yes | $280.98 |
| tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur | Yes | $179.09 |
| sleeper-service | Yes | $173.79 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $139.99 |
| 0xbc3c… | Yes | $91.01 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $58.87 |
| yxh0 | Yes | $45 |
| sswlnl77 | Yes | $42.80 |
| 0x82df… | Yes | $41.62 |
145 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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