No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $6.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
indiaforever took +$4 on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $9.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 77% · 26°C 32% · 27°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 98% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 26°C 54% · 27°C 30% · 28°C 6% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 78% · 20°C 18% · 21°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 36% · 8°C 25% · 6°C 21% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 94% · 28°C 8% · 29°C 1% | $10k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| indiaforever | No | $4.44 |
| ElJefeGrande | No | $0.76 |
| 0xc8d6… | No | $0.72 |
| 123987456 | No | $0.68 |
| 0x3970… | No | $0.62 |
| quadratic1 | No | $0.60 |
| Aergia | No | $0.60 |
| Metamon | No | $0.56 |
| meendo38 | No | $0.55 |
| zhangca | No | $0.50 |
| huskyvs | Yes | −$8.96 |
| 0xb3eb… | Yes | −$1.94 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $10; the 8 biggest losers gave up $17. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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