Yes won. Smart money backed No (13 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
pashnin took +$226 on Yes from 66¢; the biggest loser gave up $189.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 13? | 48-49°F 67% · 46-47°F 15% · 50-51°F 8% | $23k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 13? | 80-81°F 51% · 78-79°F 22% · 82-83°F 14% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 13? | 15°C 68% · 16°C 36% · 17°C 1% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 13? | 80-81°F 44% · 78-79°F 32% · 82-83°F 16% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 13? | 26°C 95% · 27°C 6% · 28°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 13? | 32°C 99% · 33°C 1% · 30°C 0% | $16k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 13? | 68-69°F 58% · 70-71°F 29% · 66-67°F 13% | $15k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| pashnin | Yes | $225.99 |
| 0x3308… | Yes | $173.55 |
| 0x9506… | Yes | $142.09 |
| 0x2279… | Yes | $111.98 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $97.11 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | $78.39 |
| 0x8443… | Yes | $74.31 |
| BeresBalu | Yes | $60.27 |
| kerbrerv | Yes | $49.69 |
| 0x1d36… | Yes | $48.53 |
| Courageous-Stumbling | Yes | $40.60 |
| bryant666888 | Yes | $39.90 |
170 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.7k; the 57 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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