No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$210 on No from 74¢; the biggest loser gave up $210.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 0% · 12°C 0% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 98% · 26°C 1% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 100% · 28°C 0% · 29°C 0% | $17k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 99% · 18°C 1% · 19°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 34% · 6°C 25% · 8°C 23% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 15? | 33°C 100% · 34°C 0% · 38°C or higher 0% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $209.55 |
| 0bot | No | $189.81 |
| gghff | No | $186.27 |
| hello.67 | No | $138.79 |
| Thermomenal | No | $132.18 |
| 241532532432 | No | $70.46 |
| Pityok1 | No | $50.27 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $40.95 |
| rocky42025 | Yes | $32.39 |
| Bokich | No | $22.61 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $21.82 |
| Drius712 | No | $13.38 |
115 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 55 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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