No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
melee-rocket took +$2 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 64% · 26°C 38% · 27°C 1% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 92% · 20°C 14% · 21°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 89% · 28°C 10% · 29°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 15? | 14°C 99% · 15°C 1% · 16°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 36% · 8°C 24% · 6°C 22% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| melee-rocket | No | $1.86 |
| ghorrock | No | $0.83 |
| weather-vane | No | $0.53 |
| 0x838d… | Yes | −$2 |
| dingdingdangdang | Yes | −$0.77 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | −$0.54 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $3; the 3 biggest losers gave up $3. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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