Yes won. Smart money backed No (11 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $7.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$144 on Yes from 60¢; the biggest loser gave up $103.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 90% · 17°C 9% · 18°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 57% · 11°C 30% · 9°C 15% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 36% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 8% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 44% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 5% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 40% · 13°C 11% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $144.07 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $128.82 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $74.89 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $40.50 |
| kerbrerv | Yes | $33.34 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $31.93 |
| pashnin | Yes | $27.58 |
| BeresBalu | Yes | $26.76 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $25.50 |
| krbrv | Yes | $25.43 |
| Altergora | Yes | $23.28 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | $20.97 |
170 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $965; the 60 biggest losers gave up $807. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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