No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $4.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$62 on No from 85¢; the biggest loser gave up $81.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 86% · 17°C 14% · 18°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 55% · 11°C 28% · 9°C 16% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 8% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 55% · 14°C 29% · 12°C 15% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $62.36 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $21.85 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $17.96 |
| fregdf12f | No | $7.35 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $6.99 |
| gghff | No | $6 |
| SebW | No | $5.40 |
| crypt941 | No | $4.80 |
| 0xe95f… | No | $3.79 |
| 0xb8bb… | No | $3.66 |
| dobrelya | No | $3.35 |
| weatherwhat | No | $3.33 |
61 wallets held a position at the close. The 31 biggest winners took $170; the 30 biggest losers gave up $209. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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