Yes won. Smart money backed No (11 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 97% · 14°C 2% · 15°C 1% | $48k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 57% · 33°C 40% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 70% · 30°C 18% · 28°C 13% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 17°C 39% · 16°C 39% · 18°C 22% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 53% · 3°C 43% · 4°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 40% · 13°C 31% · 11°C 21% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 56% · 21°C 30% · 22°C 3% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| fildoro | Yes | $357.85 |
| keyboard-politician | Yes | $243.82 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $234.65 |
| belsand2 | Yes | $164.31 |
| huskyvs | Yes | $147.19 |
| LongTry | Yes | $102.18 |
| wildestdog | Yes | $97.17 |
| securebet2 | Yes | $91 |
| ravendaren | Yes | $86.30 |
| DefineX | Yes | $59.91 |
| hxlg4ever | Yes | $54.65 |
| wfffkkl | Yes | $46.17 |
173 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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