No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $4.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
hotcold took +$41 on No from 98¢; the biggest loser gave up $29.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 15? | 14°C 100% · 17°C or higher 0% · 15°C 0% | $27k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 66% · 26°C 21% · 27°C 1% | $26k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 27°C 96% · 28°C 6% · 29°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 19°C 0% · 21°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 99% · 31°C 2% · 32°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 88% · 28°C 5% · 29°C 0% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hotcold | No | $41.13 |
| 241532532432 | No | $10.44 |
| castbot | No | $2.15 |
| kboss | No | $1.09 |
| SoW-yiyi | No | $0.89 |
| gluckbaumstumpf | No | $0.81 |
| CoffeinatedHumster | No | $0.80 |
| UnknownCamer237 | No | $0.69 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.62 |
| zdfhftr | No | $0.60 |
| zelenjava | No | $0.58 |
| SmellyPants | No | $0.51 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $60; the 4 biggest losers gave up $38. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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