Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $8.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$186 on Yes from 52¢; the biggest loser gave up $162.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 46% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 42% · 11°C 37% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $185.50 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $138.29 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $129.31 |
| quqqq | Yes | $122.45 |
| trilloux | Yes | $64.24 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $45.14 |
| AzerTpn | Yes | $36.18 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $29.72 |
| manuel11431180 | Yes | $27.08 |
| RRR-WEATHER | Yes | $24.63 |
| 0x7ec1… | Yes | $24.17 |
| Maddad | Yes | $24.16 |
148 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 59 biggest losers gave up $951. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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