No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 5°C 28% · 3°C 19% · 6°C 9% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 43% · 70-71°F 40% · 68-69°F 11% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 67% · 13°C 23% · 11°C 10% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 33% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 44% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 13% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 48% · 12°C 43% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $260.26 |
| 241532532432 | No | $76.44 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $65.71 |
| haveagoodday | No | $46.01 |
| 0xf015… | No | $45.43 |
| Thermomenal | No | $43.65 |
| 0x7ec1… | No | $42.64 |
| 0x03a4… | No | $29.26 |
| 0x567 | No | $26.64 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $25.02 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $23.87 |
| 0xyahn | No | $17.61 |
186 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $962; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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