No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $3.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$86 on No from 77¢; the biggest loser gave up $30.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 94% · 26°C 3% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 98% · 19°C 3% · 20°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 99% · 31°C 1% · 32°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 36% · 8°C 25% · 6°C 22% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $85.78 |
| fregdf12f | No | $28.57 |
| 0x7ec1… | No | $24.31 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $18.76 |
| fildoro | No | $17.55 |
| 0x567 | No | $8.58 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $4.56 |
| dandanteng | No | $4.05 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $3.84 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $3.60 |
| Thermomenal | No | $2.29 |
| dumdumdumdum | No | $2 |
67 wallets held a position at the close. The 32 biggest winners took $227; the 35 biggest losers gave up $180. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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