Yes won. Smart money backed No (18 ranked wallets, average entry 86¢) and lost. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
poligami took +$669 on Yes from 2¢; the biggest loser gave up $437.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 25°C 100% · 26°C 0% · 27°C 0% | $44k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 14? | 13°C 100% · 14°C 0% · 15°C 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 14? | 15°C 99% · 16°C 1% · 18°C 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 14? | 70-71°F 67% · 72-73°F 24% · 68-69°F 12% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 14? | 16°C 100% · 17°C 0% · 12°C or below 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 36% · 48-49°F 29% · 46-47°F 12% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 14? | 5°C 99% · 6°C 0% · 4°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 14? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 34% · 12°C 1% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| poligami | Yes | $669.43 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $505.80 |
| Bambusbunker | Yes | $488.83 |
| Maddad | Yes | $316.49 |
| Guessingkbn-wx | Yes | $242.92 |
| 0x342c… | Yes | $204.09 |
| yuyu2025 | Yes | $199.32 |
| 0x27d7… | Yes | $178.03 |
| drunk-unc | Yes | $142.72 |
| 0xd66d… | Yes | $120.18 |
| jabbadabba | Yes | $119.09 |
| tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur | Yes | $90.81 |
184 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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