Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $67k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 52% · 76-77°F 22% · 72-73°F 19% | $12k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 53% · 25°C 46% · 24°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 54% · 29°C 41% · 27°C 5% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 35% · 29°C 10% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 3? | 11°C 64% · 12°C 30% · 10°C 8% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $753.40 |
| kerbrerv | Yes | $181.67 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $178.01 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $170.05 |
| Maddad | Yes | $167.41 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $148.80 |
| wearehereto | Yes | $127.05 |
| haiwenxiang | Yes | $99.97 |
| trilloux | Yes | $92.80 |
| 0x1c98… | Yes | $91.33 |
| ImBadAtMath | Yes | $90.00 |
| mcdownload2 | Yes | $74.37 |
202 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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