Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 43% · 72-73°F 33% · 76-77°F 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 45% · 29°C 44% · 27°C 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 3? | 11°C 65% · 12°C 24% · 10°C 10% | $11k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 75% · 25°C 18% · 24°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 51% · 27°C 40% · 29°C 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 3? | 16°C 61% · 17°C 28% · 15°C 8% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $598.46 |
| Maddad | Yes | $295 |
| blockpwx | Yes | $153.85 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $148.58 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $110.49 |
| mcdownload2 | Yes | $96.07 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $84.85 |
| Challengineer | Yes | $78.59 |
| OutOfMemory | Yes | $52.68 |
| AzerTpn | Yes | $46.01 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $43.02 |
| honeyMate | Yes | $37.86 |
155 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $893. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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