Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $5.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
WrongBy1Degree took +$477 on Yes from 27¢; the biggest loser gave up $80.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 98% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 24°C 87% · 25°C 11% · 26°C 2% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 95% · 18°C 2% · 20°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 26°C 79% · 25°C 25% · 27°C 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 29% · 8°C 27% · 6°C 22% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 60% · 9°C 19% · 11°C 17% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 15? | 15°C 57% · 16°C 49% · 17°C 2% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $476.94 |
| 0xa176… | Yes | $86.83 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $57.27 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $55.99 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $50.54 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $31.68 |
| chuzihang122 | Yes | $28.91 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $27.92 |
| 0xbc3c… | Yes | $25.47 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $22.70 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $21.92 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | $20.94 |
88 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $555. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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