Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $9.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 97% · 14°C 4% · 15°C 0% | $49k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 39% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 49% · 29°C 37% · 28°C 4% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 50% · 17°C 36% · 18°C 5% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 40% · 21°C 36% · 19°C 22% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 53% · 3°C 44% · 4°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 46% · 13°C 32% · 11°C 13% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $172.53 |
| 0xa1cc… | Yes | $120.83 |
| windy-weather | Yes | $117.49 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $63.42 |
| nailongbaobao | Yes | $52.78 |
| habash2 | Yes | $52.27 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $45.84 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $42.94 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $38.49 |
| Windollar | Yes | $34.60 |
| RuudVanistelrooy2002 | Yes | $32.86 |
| Poligarch | Yes | $32.55 |
118 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 56 biggest losers gave up $588. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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