No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $8.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$46 on No from 63¢; the biggest loser gave up $161.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 34% · No 67% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 12? | 27°C 100% · 26°C 0% · 21°C or below 0% | $33k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 8 70% · Greater than 8 15% · 7 6% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 12? | 17°C 100% · 16°C 0% · 12°C or below 0% | $20k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 12? | 17°C 85% · 18°C 14% · 19°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 12? | 68-69°F 45% · 66-67°F 31% · 70-71°F 17% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Jeddah on November 12? | 34°C 100% · 35°C 0% · 36°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on November 12? | 23°C 26% · 22°C or below 24% · 24°C 24% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $46.50 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $37.20 |
| 0x1941… | No | $34.92 |
| chuhe6886 | No | $33.00 |
| fregdf12f | No | $32.10 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $26.11 |
| twobonclay | No | $22.34 |
| WrongBy1Degree | No | $21.72 |
| yellowhp | No | $10.20 |
| CobaltKey | No | $9.23 |
| 0x567 | No | $7.80 |
| leemins | No | $6.72 |
69 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $354; the 28 biggest losers gave up $527. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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