No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $9.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
fregdf12f took +$210 on No from 52¢; the biggest loser gave up $138.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 39% · 62-63°F 9% | $13k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 53% · 56-57°F 26% · 52-53°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 17% · 52-53°F 15% · 54-55°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 27% · 20°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 46% · 56-57°F 35% · 60-61°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 55% · 74-75°F 25% · 70-71°F 17% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 14? | 46-47°F 59% · 44-45°F 25% · 48-49°F 12% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| fregdf12f | No | $209.68 |
| hello.67 | No | $166.72 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $127.54 |
| Bilberry | No | $108.65 |
| 241532532432 | No | $90.50 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $65.24 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $42.24 |
| ghorrock | No | $32.44 |
| Clusius | No | $22.55 |
| LuckyHT2 | No | $20.27 |
| 0x03a4… | No | $19.37 |
| leemins | No | $14.65 |
96 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 54 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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