No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
dp. took +$4 on Yes from 1¢; the biggest loser gave up $14.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 23% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 39% · 11°C 37% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dp. | Yes | $4.39 |
| ghorrock | No | $2.78 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $2.66 |
| nickxm | No | $0.97 |
| indiaforever | No | $0.91 |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | $0.78 |
| luciebot | No | $0.76 |
| nesprit | No | $0.75 |
| smi1e | No | $0.50 |
| huskyvs | Yes | −$13.69 |
| phferrao | Yes | −$3 |
| tropicalhaze | Yes | −$2.75 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $15; the 10 biggest losers gave up $31. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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