No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $6.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
showmethemoney88 took +$100 on No from 96¢; the biggest loser gave up $48.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 0% · 12°C 0% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 97% · 26°C 3% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 100% · 28°C 0% · 29°C 0% | $17k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 99% · 18°C 1% · 19°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 34% · 6°C 25% · 8°C 23% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 15? | 33°C 100% · 34°C 0% · 38°C or higher 0% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| showmethemoney88 | No | $99.56 |
| FuuUuUu | No | $51.54 |
| 241532532432 | No | $39.68 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $18.20 |
| 0xde0a… | No | $8.68 |
| 0xb0f3… | No | $6.72 |
| fregdf12f | No | $6.45 |
| 0xf9e5… | No | $6.12 |
| dumdumdumdum | No | $5.95 |
| RICHYCROTTY | No | $5.49 |
| molypark | No | $5.28 |
| alannapow | No | $4.95 |
60 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $323; the 18 biggest losers gave up $209. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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