No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $4.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 100% · 32°C 1% · 29°C 0% | $31k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 59% · 82-83°F 30% · 78-79°F 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 63% · 8°C 38% · 10°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 2? | 30°C 99% · 32°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 97% · 19°C 5% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 2? | 31°C 92% · 33°C 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 8°C 55% · 7°C 31% · 9°C 8% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Hingtongy | Yes | $2.24 |
| indiaforever | No | $1.79 |
| underwaterdruid | No | $1.00 |
| huskyvs | Yes | −$7.29 |
| phferrao | Yes | −$3 |
| quadrant6 | Yes | −$2.37 |
| 0x44f1...kk99kk | Yes | −$1.77 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $5; the 4 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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