No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $5.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$12 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $25.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 0% · 12°C 0% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 98% · 26°C 3% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 100% · 28°C 0% · 29°C 0% | $17k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 99% · 18°C 1% · 19°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 34% · 6°C 25% · 8°C 19% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 15? | 33°C 100% · 34°C 0% · 38°C or higher 0% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $12.23 |
| melee-rocket | No | $3 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $1.89 |
| 0x50ea… | No | $1.82 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.47 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $1.45 |
| samzi | Yes | $1.32 |
| xiaoxiaocangying | No | $0.94 |
| degenraf01 | No | $0.56 |
| 0xf8b4… | No | $0.55 |
| 0xfd6c… | Yes | −$24.69 |
| dp. | Yes | −$3.71 |
27 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $25; the 17 biggest losers gave up $50. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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