No won. Smart money backed Yes (16 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$101 on No from 77¢; the biggest loser gave up $158.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 15°C 0% · 12°C or below 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 24°C 87% · 25°C 7% · 26°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 27°C 69% · 26°C 20% · 28°C 8% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 26°C 66% · 25°C 22% · 27°C 8% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 30% · 6°C 23% · 8°C 20% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 95% · 18°C 1% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $100.98 |
| hello.67 | No | $97.58 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $50.05 |
| shiping | No | $49.54 |
| 1132 | No | $45.59 |
| WrongBy1Degree | No | $44.93 |
| YuanX33 | No | $37.65 |
| twobonclay | No | $34.83 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $33.60 |
| Infamous-Emergency | No | $32.94 |
| sisan33 | No | $32.44 |
| 0xde0a… | No | $26.76 |
154 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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