No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $6.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$67 on No from 81¢; the biggest loser gave up $123.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 88% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 18°C 47% · 20°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 48% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 12% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 20°C 33% · 18°C 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $67.08 |
| hello.67 | No | $55.17 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $35.67 |
| melchior1248 | No | $21.41 |
| HWReborn | No | $17.73 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $16.74 |
| aze3 | No | $14.12 |
| televisionloud | No | $11.43 |
| 0x7d5a...49cd06 | No | $10.22 |
| matmoonspell | No | $9.89 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $8.58 |
| 1132 | No | $7.66 |
83 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $382; the 31 biggest losers gave up $360. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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