No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $42k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 49% · 19°C 26% · 21°C 11% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 55% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 46% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 10% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 48% · 60-61°F 41% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 53% · 19°C 42% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 53% · 48-49°F 41% · 52-53°F 5% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| gghff | No | $48.62 |
| newbie147 | No | $48.47 |
| Bakuskyvs | No | $25.80 |
| yaoying666 | No | $21.02 |
| 241532532432 | No | $16.82 |
| RSKIWeatherEnthusiast | Yes | $10.09 |
| ghorrock | No | $9.35 |
| Bliss99131 | No | $8.66 |
| 0xace0… | Yes | $8.28 |
| showmethemoney88 | No | $8.20 |
| slow-2pct | No | $7.68 |
| mashuuuu | No | $7.01 |
104 wallets held a position at the close. The 54 biggest winners took $317; the 50 biggest losers gave up $333. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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