Yes won. Smart money backed No (12 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
OnlyLuckNoBrain took +$331 on Yes from 14¢; the biggest loser gave up $518.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 0% · 27°C 0% | $42k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 27°C 99% · 28°C 0% · 26°C 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 23°C 0% · 24°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 19°C 0% · 13°C or below 0% | $19k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 33% · 6°C 24% · 8°C 20% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 98% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 58% · 12°C 15% · 14°C 13% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $331.01 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $312.68 |
| gghff | Yes | $246.36 |
| fildoro | Yes | $243.81 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $162.64 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $122.68 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | Yes | $121.62 |
| 1132 | Yes | $100.12 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $70.03 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $57.80 |
| Rifleman175 | Yes | $54.52 |
| MayWeatherstappen | Yes | $48.25 |
201 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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