Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 60% · 29°C 31% · 27°C 11% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 3? | 11°C 50% · 12°C 48% · 10°C 5% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 3? | 20°C 51% · 21°C 40% · 22°C 6% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 51% · 76-77°F 20% · 72-73°F 18% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 3? | 19°C 39% · 17°C 8% · 16°C 2% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 63% · 27°C 27% · 29°C 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 3? | 13°C 53% · 12°C 40% · 11°C 5% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $174.79 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $159.25 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $153.21 |
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $148.76 |
| pashnin | Yes | $124.62 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $70.07 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | $65.07 |
| pierodi87 | Yes | $57.33 |
| AuspiciousWolf | Yes | $46.16 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $45.12 |
| manuel11431180 | Yes | $33 |
| dobrelya | Yes | $27.75 |
150 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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