No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $2.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 78% · 30°C 29% · 32°C 2% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 8°C 55% · 7°C 35% · 9°C 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 49% · 82-83°F 44% · 78-79°F 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 52% · 8°C 38% · 10°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 2? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 20% · 10°C 8% · 13°C 2% | $10k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $15 |
| degenraf01 | No | $1.05 |
| HWReborn | No | $1.02 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.53 |
| dami-1 | No | $0.50 |
| dami-1 | Yes | −$1.96 |
| Bugoz | Yes | −$1.91 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $18; the 2 biggest losers gave up $4. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.