No won. Smart money backed Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $4.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $35k |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $20k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 39% · 70-71°F 31% · 68-69°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 45% · 13°C 27% · 11°C 21% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 62% · 3°C 33% · 4°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 56% · 12°C 22% · 10°C 21% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 6? | 20°C 99% · 21°C 1% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Pellepele | No | $462.33 |
| Bilberry | No | $55.11 |
| twobonclay | No | $40.72 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $24.30 |
| SZ9558 | No | $23.14 |
| fcwl | No | $20.93 |
| 0x96a9… | No | $17.68 |
| sswlnl77 | No | $14.85 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $13.55 |
| ventyclob | No | $12.82 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $10.66 |
| 0x567 | No | $9.60 |
96 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $821; the 56 biggest losers gave up $544. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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