No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
dp. took +$4 on Yes from 1¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 86% · 17°C 14% · 18°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 54% · 11°C 28% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 10% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 28% · 56-57°F 23% · 55°F or below 19% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dp. | Yes | $4.27 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.56 |
| canis333 | No | $0.87 |
| takertime | No | $0.55 |
| 0x5522… | No | $0.54 |
| goshopping | Yes | −$2.50 |
| Alert-Clearance-Raft | Yes | −$1 |
| 0x8fd1… | Yes | −$1 |
| Nina1408 | Yes | −$1 |
| cplyrcmol2 | Yes | −$1 |
| Upppppp | Yes | −$1 |
| Domenico.Pucci | Yes | −$0.56 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $8; the 7 biggest losers gave up $8. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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