No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $4.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x69ec… took +$74 on No from 64¢; the biggest loser gave up $176.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 46% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 42% · 11°C 37% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x69ec… | No | $73.70 |
| bingus007 | No | $27.44 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $23.45 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $19.20 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $13.94 |
| Katty3105 | No | $11.25 |
| NewDi | No | $10.15 |
| Tysha | No | $9.36 |
| 241532532432 | No | $8.45 |
| GUZMANYGOMEZ | No | $7.41 |
| Windollar | No | $6.83 |
| bhuumi | No | $5.98 |
88 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $300; the 36 biggest losers gave up $435. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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