No won. Smart money backed Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $6.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 96% · 19°C 3% · 17°C 1% | $42k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 31°C 50% · 30°C 42% · 32°C 2% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 57% · 27°C 37% · 26°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 4? | 15°C 62% · 14°C 20% · 16°C 19% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 53% · 27°C 20% · 29°C 17% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 18°C 50% · 17°C 41% · 16°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 62% · 11°C 20% · 9°C 17% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Pellepele | No | $171.08 |
| lastminutebuyer | No | $39.20 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $39.02 |
| WrongBy1Degree | No | $34.69 |
| ventyclob | No | $31.28 |
| blowdryer | No | $30.08 |
| HighTempTation | No | $29.03 |
| twobonclay | No | $22.43 |
| smallyua | No | $13.80 |
| baller-80b2 | No | $13.80 |
| anothercoin | No | $13.69 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $12.30 |
103 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $660; the 44 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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