Yes won. Smart money backed No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $6.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Rifleman175 took +$171 on Yes from 27¢; the biggest loser gave up $197.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 25°C 99% · 27°C 1% · 26°C 0% | $32k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 48-49°F 34% · 50-51°F 25% · 46-47°F 16% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 14? | 70-71°F 59% · 72-73°F 19% · 68-69°F 15% | $14k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 23°C 85% · 22°C 10% · 20°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 14? | 29°C 98% · 30°C 1% · 31°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 14? | 60-61°F 40% · 62-63°F 32% · 58-59°F 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 14? | 5°C 96% · 6°C 1% · 7°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 14? | 10°C 49% · 9°C 34% · 11°C 17% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Rifleman175 | Yes | $171.47 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $147.48 |
| lastminutebuyer | Yes | $142.33 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $58.43 |
| Legend- | Yes | $57 |
| plm15 | Yes | $41.86 |
| nickcoast | Yes | $40.69 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $32.46 |
| Infamous-Emergency | Yes | $29.83 |
| exocide | Yes | $27.95 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $26.95 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $26.36 |
135 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $858. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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