No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $4.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$58 on No from 49¢; the biggest loser gave up $179.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 18°C 27% · 20°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 11% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 34% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $57.63 |
| 0x69ec… | No | $56.59 |
| hello.67 | No | $49.34 |
| 241532532432 | No | $48.72 |
| predictotemp | No | $26.45 |
| bingus007 | No | $25.60 |
| 0x0700… | No | $17.40 |
| Haradwaith | No | $17.27 |
| luciebot | No | $15.61 |
| rocky42025 | No | $13.54 |
| matmoonspell | No | $10.91 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $10.32 |
100 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $537; the 39 biggest losers gave up $613. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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