Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $6.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
hello.67 took +$389 on Yes from 36¢; the biggest loser gave up $300.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 88% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 18°C 47% · 20°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 48% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 12% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 20°C 33% · 18°C 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | Yes | $389.10 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $273.68 |
| dp. | Yes | $158.43 |
| Lex-tang | Yes | $144.42 |
| rocky42006 | Yes | $114.24 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | $39.52 |
| 0x5ffe… | Yes | $34.13 |
| ZEEBRA-KY | Yes | $31.93 |
| battymoth5187 | Yes | $30.48 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $28.29 |
| A0A0A | Yes | $28.25 |
| 0xbc3c… | Yes | $26.33 |
81 wallets held a position at the close. The 48 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 33 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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