No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $2.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$14 on No from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $19.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 23% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 39% · 11°C 37% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $14.07 |
| Haradwaith | No | $8.89 |
| 0xa1c0… | No | $5.35 |
| syy-main | No | $4.25 |
| psyduckler | No | $4.09 |
| whhisky | No | $2.94 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $2.56 |
| HWReborn | No | $2.43 |
| bingus007 | No | $2.27 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $1.47 |
| newbie147 | No | $1.39 |
| 0xe0c9… | No | $1.16 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $54; the 22 biggest losers gave up $78. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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