No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $1.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
ZEEBRA-KY took +$3 on No from 98¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 57% · 18°C 32% · 16°C 0% | $27k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 82% · 17°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 34% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 30% · 60-61°F 24% · 56-57°F 16% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 7% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 32% · 13°C 16% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ZEEBRA-KY | No | $3.31 |
| bigduckpp | No | $1.42 |
| 241532532432 | No | $0.83 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.70 |
| ghorrock | No | $0.51 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | −$2.20 |
| BINBIN888 | Yes | −$1.49 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | −$1.17 |
| 0xf711… | Yes | −$1.11 |
| HBX02 | Yes | −$0.50 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $7; the 5 biggest losers gave up $6. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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